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First Impressions Can Create Unrealistic Expectations for Recruits


PJ photo from NY Times

Perry Dozier Jr. of Columbia, S.C., has been ranked by recruiting analysts as the top
 prospect in the country for the class of 2015. - Brett Flashnick for The New York Times
 

March 10, 2009
By ADAM HIMMELSBACH, The New York Times

 

Excerpts from the full article below. (Please click here for the original article)

 

(Clark) Francis, who charges $499 a year for a subscription to his recruiting service, said he would rather not rank sixth graders, but since he was one of the few analysts who did, it made his business stand out.

He said it was not his job to determine which players could be negatively affected by his reports. He does not scour elementary schools, but when a sixth grader attends an A.A.U. tournament or a showcase camp, Francis considers him eligible to be ranked.

“A lot of people are horrified that we watch players at such an early age,” Francis said.

“But plenty of college coaches want to know.”

They might want to know about Perry Dozier Jr.

Last summer, Perry Dozier Sr. was sitting in the bleachers at the Adidas Jr. Phenom Camp in San Diego when one recruiting analyst after another told him his son would be the top-ranked player in the class of 2015.

Dozier Jr. is a 5-6 sixth grader at E. L. Wright Middle School in Columbia, S.C. He signed his first autograph when he was in fourth grade. He has a Web site, perrydozierjr.com, that displays his highlight videos.

Last month, Dozier was selected to play for the junior N.B.A. national team in an exhibition during All-Star weekend in Phoenix. He stayed in the same hotel as Oscar Robertson, Julius Erving and Dominique Wilkins, and when he met the former stars they told him humility would be his greatest asset.

Dozier Sr. wonders if the rankings and the spotlight are creating an impossible standard for his son.

“There might be expectations that are unreachable, or there are worries about getting injured or anything that could possibly take this game away,” said the 6-11 Dozier Sr., a former South Carolina center. “But he’s a very mature young man.”

Dozier could thrive like Marshall, or he could be burdened by heavy expectations like Allen. Whatever happens, it will not be because of a lack of exposure.

For the next six years, the rankings and ratings will follow him to tournaments and games and camps. 

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